Fluminense PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 0
FPI
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 0
FPI
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 1
BAH
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
FPI
7%
12%
81%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
2 - 3
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
3 - 0
FPI
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
4DE
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
4DE
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |