Fluminense PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
FPI
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FPI
4 - 0
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 3
FPI
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 1
FPI
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 0
FPI
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
4DE
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
AAO
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
4DE
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
ABC
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |