Fluminense de Feira vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 2
FLU
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 1
POC
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
JUA
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 3
VIT
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 3
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |