Fluminense de Feira vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 1
CAM
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |