Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Fluminense de Feira vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLU
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
FLU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 0
GAL
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
SDJ
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
SDJ
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 3
VIT
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CUI
31%
29%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
SDJ
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |