Fluminense de Feira vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
2 - 2
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 0
MDE
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
POC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |