Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 0-3
Fluminense de Feira vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
FLU
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 0
FLU
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
SER
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SDJ
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |