Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Fluminense de Feira vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CFC
0 - 1
FLU
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
IPI
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MDE
3 - 2
BAH
23%
22%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IPI
4 - 0
BAH
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |