Flugels vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 1
KAA
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
JEF
4 - 2
FLU
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
FLU
4 - 3
TOK
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
NAG
2 - 3
FLU
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
JUB
2 - 3
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1996 |
KYO
2 - 3
NAG
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
SHI
1 - 4
NAG
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
NAG
2 - 3
FLU
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 1
KAA
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |