Flugels vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
JEF
6 - 3
FLU
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 3
JUB
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
FCY
1 - 0
FLU
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 1
SHO
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
NAG
0 - 1
TOK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
KAA
1 - 3
NAG
59%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
GAM
1 - 2
NAG
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
NAG
5 - 0
JEF
60%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
FCY
5 - 0
NAG
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |