Flugels vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GAM
3 - 2
FLU
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
FLU
0 - 3
JEF
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
FLU
2 - 3
CER
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
TOK
4 - 1
FLU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
SHI
2 - 3
FLU
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NAG
4 - 3
TOK
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
KAA
4 - 0
NAG
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
NAG
2 - 0
SHI
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
SAN
4 - 0
NAG
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FCY
2 - 0
NAG
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |