Flugels vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
JEF
1 - 2
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1993 |
FLU
3 - 2
FCY
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
GAM
0 - 0
FLU
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
FLU
0 - 1
TOK
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
URA
0 - 1
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
NAG
2 - 1
KAA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1993 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
FCY
2 - 0
NAG
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
NAG
0 - 2
GAM
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1993 |
TOK
3 - 1
NAG
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |