Flugels vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
JEF
0 - 3
FLU
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
4 - 3
VIS
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
TOK
0 - 3
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
0 - 4
JUB
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
SHO
3 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
KYO
1 - 3
GAM
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
JEF
1 - 2
KYO
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
KYO
2 - 2
KAR
29%
23%
47%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
VIS
0 - 2
KYO
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
KYO
0 - 3
KAA
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -1 |