Flugels vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
FLU
0 - 1
TOK
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
KYO
1 - 2
FLU
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
GAM
2 - 1
FLU
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
FLU
2 - 3
FCY
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
FLU
1 - 3
URA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
KAA
2 - 1
JEF
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
JEF
1 - 2
NAG
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
JEF
3 - 4
VIS
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
KAR
1 - 2
JEF
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
CER
1 - 0
JEF
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |