Flugels vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
TOK
3 - 2
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 2
NAG
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 1
KAA
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
JEF
4 - 2
FLU
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
FLU
4 - 3
TOK
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
JEF
1 - 0
CER
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
KAA
2 - 0
JEF
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
SHI
1 - 2
JEF
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
JEF
4 - 2
FLU
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
CER
2 - 3
JEF
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |