Flugels vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
2 - 3
KYO
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
JEF
0 - 3
FLU
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
4 - 3
VIS
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
TOK
0 - 3
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
FLU
0 - 4
JUB
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
CER
2 - 0
JEF
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
VIS
2 - 0
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CER
1 - 2
TOK
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
JUB
3 - 0
CER
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
CER
2 - 1
SHO
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |