Fløya vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
11º
10º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fløya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
OPP
3 - 2
FLO
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
SKE
83%
10%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ASK
0 - 1
FLO
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
HIS
96%
3%
1%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 0
FLO
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
SIK
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
LOR
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAR
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
KFU
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |