Flower City Union vs Manhattan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
76.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flower City Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BOB
1 - 0
FCU
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 2
MSF
10%
19%
72%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCU
89%
9%
3%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
2 - 2
FCU
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
FCU
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Manhattan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MSC
2 - 1
FCM
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
MSC
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MSC
2 - 0
FCM
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MSC
5 - 0
WES
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CSR
1 - 3
MSC
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |