Florø vs Bjarg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
14º
14º
14º
68
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Florø
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASA
7 - 0
FLO
42%
21%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPJ
4 - 0
FLO
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
6 - 1
HAM
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ELV
3 - 2
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
HOD
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 6
BJA
37%
21%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 1
ASA
69%
16%
14%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
3 - 1
BJA
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 2
BJA
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |