Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-7
Floriana FC vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
BVB
8 - 0
FLO
87%
8%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
FLO
1 - 5
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1962 |
IPS
10 - 0
FLO
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
FLO
1 - 4
IPS
36%
23%
41%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UJP
10 - 2
FLO
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 0
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
GAE
2 - 4
SPA
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 0
VVD
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |