Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Floriana FC vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
6 - 0
FLO
67%
17%
16%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FLO
1 - 1
SPA
36%
21%
43%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
BVB
8 - 0
FLO
87%
8%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
FLO
1 - 5
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1962 |
IPS
10 - 0
FLO
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VOL
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 3
FEY
21%
26%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
VVD
0 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1967 |
GAE
6 - 0
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |