Florgrade FC vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
14º
10º
22
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Florgrade FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 1
SAO
23%
22%
54%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
FFC
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GON
3 - 1
FFC
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
BMA
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GON
4 - 2
VIL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BMA
22%
25%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
REB
0 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |