Florgrade FC vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
14º
10º
35
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Florgrade FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 1
FFC
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 1
FFC
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
ODO
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 1
BMA
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | +12 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
FFC
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
GON
43%
29%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 1
FFC
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |