Florgrade FC vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+221%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
14º
10º
34
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Florgrade FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 2
AMA
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
FFC
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
2 - 0
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 1
FFC
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 0
GON
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 5
VSC
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
BMA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 1
AMA
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REB
0 - 0
BMA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |