Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 2
FLO
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 2
FLO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 0
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLO
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
BPA
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
RIV
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RIV
5 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BPA
0 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLO
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |