Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Floresta EC vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
0 - 0
FLO
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 2
FLO
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 3
MOT
37%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
JAC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
JAC
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 0
JAC
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |