Floresta EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 3
FOR
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLO
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
FLO
59%
21%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 0
FOR
15%
19%
65%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
IMP
4 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
IMP
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |