Floresta EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 1
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 2
FLO
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
2 - 2
FLO
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IGU
1 - 0
FLO
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CEA
5 - 2
GUA
83%
13%
3%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
GLO
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |