Floresta EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
BOT
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 1
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 2
FLO
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
2 - 2
FLO
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 4
UNI
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
TIR
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |