FC Flora vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
FLO
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
FLO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
STB
4 - 0
VIR
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 7
STB
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |