FC Flora vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
5º
4º
32
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
74.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 2
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
FLO
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
KAL
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
TRA
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
LEV
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |