FC Flora vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
5º
3º
28
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
67% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
71% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
NOM
57%
21%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
15%
19%
66%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 6
RIG
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
33%
24%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
TAL
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 3
LIE
29%
22%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
TAL
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |