FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
5º
3º
25
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
61% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
2 - 2
FLO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
PAI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
NOM
21%
21%
58%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |