FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
48
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
FLO
14%
18%
67%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 4
FLO
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
TAM
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 2
FLO
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
5 - 0
TRA
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAM
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
KAL
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |