FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
FLO
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BIF
4 - 0
FLO
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FLO
2 - 0
TUL
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 3
FLO
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
FLO
0 - 0
BIF
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 4
TAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEV
3 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 2
WAR
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 2
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |