FC Flora vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 2
TRA
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
TAL
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FLO
8%
18%
75%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
FLO
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 3
FLO
16%
21%
63%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 2
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 4
PAI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |