FC Flora vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
5º
4º
15
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
VIK
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 2
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
LEV
27%
24%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
9 - 0
KJL
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |