FC Flora vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
5º
4º
14
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
74.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
VIK
46%
23%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 2
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
LEV
27%
24%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
9 - 0
KJL
91%
7%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |