FC Flora vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
5º
3º
61
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
71% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
72.5% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
PAI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 3
TRA
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
FLO
15%
23%
63%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
PAI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
TAL
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 5
LEV
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
KAL
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 0
KAL
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |