FC Flora vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 4
TRA
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
RAK
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
1 - 0
FLO
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 0
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
TAM
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 0
JAR
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 4
PAI
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
JWO
0 - 8
KUR
7%
13%
81%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 3
KUR
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |