FC Flora Tallin II vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
2º
48
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 0
FLO
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
VJK
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 4
FLO
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 3
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
LEV
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 3
WEL
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
LEV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HJP
0 - 0
WEL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
VJK
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |