FC Flora Tallin II vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
5º
3º
41
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
71%
16%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 1
FLO
36%
23%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 7
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 4
FLO
29%
21%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KUR
4 - 2
FLO
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
WEL
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCE
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 4
TAB
28%
21%
52%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FLO
10 - 0
FCE
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 1
FAT
43%
22%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |