Flint Town United vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
33
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
FLI
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
FLI
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 3
NEW
28%
22%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
AIR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |