Flint Town United vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAE
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
FLI
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
FLI
4 - 0
QPA
59%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
FLI
0 - 3
HOL
27%
21%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BUC
0 - 1
FLI
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
PRE
70%
17%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 4
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 3
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |