Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
11º
10º
26
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 7
FLI
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |