Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FLI
2 - 0
BAL
14%
17%
69%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
RHY
0 - 1
FLI
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLI
12%
19%
70%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FLI
3 - 1
COR
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 3
FLI
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
AIR
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
BAN
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
DYF
0 - 1
COL
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 3
COL
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |