Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 1
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
FLI
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAE
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |