Flint Mountain vs South Gower analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FMC
2 - 1
CLC
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FMC
3 - 1
HOL
5%
10%
86%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NFA
0 - 3
FMC
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FMC
0 - 4
CAE
3%
9%
88%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLW
3 - 6
FMC
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
South Gower
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 2
CTF
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 0
RKP
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
SGA
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |