Flint Mountain vs Llay Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 5
FMC
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RHY
1 - 1
FMC
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CPD
4 - 1
FMC
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FMC
4 - 4
DEN
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 1
LLA
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Llay Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LLW
1 - 1
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
LLW
47%
21%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLW
1 - 0
CAE
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
6 - 2
LLW
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 0
LLW
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |