Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
55.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 1
LLA
21%
19%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 1
FMC
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
FMC
69%
17%
13%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
1 - 0
GRE
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 3
CAE
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 2
DEN
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
5 - 1
GRE
62%
19%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAE
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
DEN
60%
19%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AIR
7 - 0
DEN
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |