Flint Mountain vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.7%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
88%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.7%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.5%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.7%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.4%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLW
3 - 6
FMC
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 0
CAE
15%
19%
67%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |